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BEAST: Bayesian Change-Point Detection and Time-Series Decomposition

BEAST — the Bayesian Estimator of Abrupt change, Seasonality, and Trend — is a fast Bayesian model-averaging algorithm for decomposing time series and other one-dimensional sequential data into abrupt-change, trend, and seasonal/periodic components. BEAST is useful for:

  • change-point detection: breakpoints, structural breaks, joinpoints, regime shifts, and anomalies;
  • trend analysis and nonlinear trend detection;
  • decomposition of trend and seasonal/periodic components (i.e., seasonal-Trend decomposition );
  • time-series segmentation;
  • interrupted time-series analysis;
  • outlier detection;
  • curve fitting and smotthing
  • gap-filing of 1D curves

The algorithm is described in Zhao et al. (2019). Examples on the use of BEAST/Rbeast across remote sensing, ecology, hydrology, public health, finance, paleoclimate, and other fields are provided in selected publications using BEAST/Rbeast.


Contents


Quick installation

BEAST is implemented in C/C++ as a package named Rbeast and is available through R, Python, MATLAB, and Octave interfaces.

Interface Installation command
Python pip install Rbeast
R install.packages("Rbeast")
MATLAB eval(webread('http://b.link/rbeast', weboptions('cert','')))
Octave eval(webread('http://b.link/rbeast'))

Quick examples

Python

import Rbeast as rb

nile, year = rb.load_example("nile")
out = rb.beast(nile, start=1871, season="none")
rb.print(out)
rb.plot(out)

MATLAB / Octave

load('Nile.mat')
out = beast(Nile, 'start', 1871, 'season', 'none');
printbeast(out)
plotbeast(out)

R

library(Rbeast)

data(Nile)
out <- beast(Nile, season = "none")
print(out)
plot(out)

Installation

R CRAN version CRAN downloads CRAN Task View

Rbeast is available from CRAN. It is also listed in several CRAN Task Views, including Time Series Analysis, Bayesian inference, and Environmetrics. Install it from CRAN:

install.packages("Rbeast")

Note: CRAN also hosts another package named beast, which is unrelated to this project. The package described here is Rbeast. It is also unrelated to the evolutionary-analysis software BEAST, which stands for Bayesian Evolutionary Analysis by Sampling Trees.

Run and test Rbeast in R

The main R functions are beast(), beast.irreg(), and beast123().

library(Rbeast)

data(Nile)                          # Annual streamflow of the Nile River
out <- beast(Nile, season = "none") # Trend-only data without seasonality
print(out)
plot(out)

?Rbeast                            # See package documentation

The package also includes two small games:

tetris()                         # if you dare to waste a few moments of your life 
minesweeper()                    # if you dare to waste a few more moments of your life 

Python PyPI

Rbeast is available from PyPI at https://pypi.org/project/Rbeast/. Install the binary wheel package using:

pip install Rbeast

Binary wheel files are available for Windows, macOS, and Linux for common Python versions and CPU architectures. If the installation above from a wheel fails, install from source:

pip install Rbeast --no-binary :all:

Note: Building from source requires a C/C++ compiler, such as MinGW GCC on Windows, GNU GCC on Linux or Xcode/Clang on macOS. If needed, contact Kaiguang Zhao (zhao.1423@osu.edu) to help build the package for your OS platform and Python version.

Run and test Rbeast in Python

Nile is the annual streamflow of the River Nile, starting in 1871. Because these are annual observations, the series has no seasonal component.

import Rbeast as rb

nile, year = rb.load_example("nile")
out = rb.beast(nile, start=1871, season="none")
rb.print(out)
rb.plot(out)

out  # Show the output fields

The second example, googletrend, is a monthly time series of Google Search popularity for the word beach in the United States. It is regularly spaced and has a yearly periodic component. Since the time step is one month, there are 12 data points per year.

import Rbeast as rb

beach, year = rb.load_example("googletrend")

# Equivalent ways to specify a monthly time step and a yearly period
out = rb.beast(beach, start= 2004.0, deltat=1/12, period = 1.0)       # the time unit is unknown or arbitrary
out = rb.beast(beach, start= 2004.0, deltat=1/12, period ='1.0 year') # the time unit is fractional year
out = rb.beast(beach, start= 2004.0, deltat='1 month', period =1.0)   # the time unit is fractional year

rb.print(out)
rb.plot(out)

MATLAB View Rbeast on File Exchange

Install the MATLAB version of BEAST automatically to a local folder of your choice:

beastPath = 'C:\beast';                 % Specify a target folder
eval(webread('http://b.link/rbeast'))   % Install to beastPath

If webread gives a certificate error, try:

beastPath = 'C:\beast';
eval(webread('http://b.link/rbeast', weboptions('cert','')))

Notes:
- The above will automatically download the files in the Rbeast\Matlab folder at Github to the chosen local path
- You need write permission for the folder specified by beastPath.
- The variable name must be exactly beastPath.
- If beastPath is not specified, the installer uses a temporary folder by default.
- If automatic installation fails, manually download the MATLAB files from the Rbeast GitHub repository.

The MATLAB distribution includes:

  • a compiled MEX binary bary library from the C/C++ soure code, such as Rbeast.mexw64 on Windows, Rbeast.mexa64 on Linux, or Rbeast.mexmaci64/Rbeast.mexmaca64 on macOS;
  • MATLAB wrapper functions such as beast.m and beast123.m;
  • example datasets such as Nile.mat and co2.mat.

Precompiled MEX binaries such as Rbeast.mexw64 and Rbeast.mexa64 are provided for Windows, Linux, and MacOS. If the included MEX binary does not work on your machine, you can compile it from the C source files in the Rbeast/Source folder. If needed, we are happy to work with you to compile for your specific machine. Additional information on compilations from the C source is also given below.

Run and test Rbeast in MATLAB

The MATLAB API is similar to those of R. Below is a quick example:

help beast
help beast123

load('Nile.mat')
out = beast(Nile, 'season', 'none', 'start', 1871);
printbeast(out)
plotbeast(out)

Octave

The Octave interface is similar to the MATLAB interface. Currently, the precompiled Octave version is primarily supported on Windows. For Octave on Linux or macOS, please contact Kaiguang Zhao at zhao.1423@osu.edu for assistance.

eval(webread('http://b.link/rbeast'))

Julia and IDL

Wrappers for Julia and IDL are under development. Contributions are welcome. Interested developers may contact Kaiguang Zhao at zhao.1423@osu.edu.


Description of BEAST

Interpreting time-series data is often affected by model choice. Different models can produce different, or even contradictory, estimates of trends, patterns, and mechanisms from the same data. BEAST addresses this limitation by moving away from a single-best-model strategy and using Bayesian model averaging across competing models.

BEAST is designed to detect abrupt changes, cyclic or seasonal variations, and nonlinear trends in time-series observations. It not only estimates when changes occur but also quantifies the probability that each detected change is real. It can detect piecewise linear trends as well as more flexible nonlinear trends.

BEAST is applicable to many types of real-valued time-series or sequential data, including data from remote sensing, finance, public health, economics, climate science, ecology, hydrology, bioinformatics, education, sociology, and other fields. Example applications include identifying ecological regime shifts, mapping forest disturbance and land degradation from satellite imagery, detecting market trends, identifying anomalies and extreme events in climate data, and studying system dynamics in biological data.

Details are provided in Zhao et al. (2019). The paper is also available at https://go.osu.edu/beast2019.


Notes on computation

BEAST is a Bayesian algorithm, but it is designed to be computationally efficient--possibly among the fastest implementations of Bayesian time-series analysis algorithms of the same nature. (However, compared to non-Bayesian methods, it may be still slower due to the MCMC sampling-based inference.)

For applications involving a few to thousands of time series, computation is usually manageable and not a practical concern. For remote-sensing and geospatial applications involving millions or billions of time series, computation can become a major challenge on desktop computers. For large stacked time-series images, first test BEAST on a single time series or a small image chip. This helps determine whether BEAST is appropriate for the application and provides a practical estimate of total processing time.

For 3D stacked image time series, use beast123 rather than beast or beast.irreg. The beast123 function is designed for data cubes and supports internal parallel computing. We also welcome consultation with Kaiguang Zhao (zhao.1423@osu.edu) to give specific suggestions if you see some value of BEAST for your applications.


Compilation from C source code

Most users do not need to compile BEAST manually. However, developers and advanced users can compile the code for specific machines or platforms. The C/C++ source files are available in the Rbeast/Source folder.

For more detailed platform-specific compilation commands, see the source-code compilation instructions in the repository.


References


Reporting bugs and requesting help

BEAST is distributed as-is, without warranty. Although it has been widely used, bugs and platform-specific issues often occur.

To report a bug, please include:

  • your operating system;
  • the interface used: R, Python, MATLAB, or Octave;
  • a minimal reproducible example, if relevant;
  • the full error message.

You may report issues through the GitHub Issues tracker or contact Kaiguang Zhao at zhao.1423@osu.edu. We also welcome any inquiry on feature enhancements or specific usage advice.


Acknowledgements

BEAST was developed by Yang Li, Tongxi Hu, Xuesong Zhang, and Kaiguang Zhao. Development of BEAST were partly funded by Microsoft Azure for Research (CRM0518513), a USGS 104B grant, and a Harmful Algal Bloom Research Initiative grant from the Ohio Department of Higher Education. Xuesong Zhang’s contribution was supported by USDA-ARS.


Selected publications using BEAST/Rbeast

BEAST was originally published for ecological and environmental applications, but it is a generic statistical tool for time-series and sequential data across many disciplines. BEAST is not a heuristic algorithm but a rigorous statistical model. To illustrate the breadth of its applications, below are some selected pulications that used BEAST for statistical data analysis:

Discipline Publication Title
Remote Sensing Li, J., Li, Z., Wu, H., and You, N., 2022. Trend, seasonality, and abrupt change detection method for land surface temperature time-series analysis: Evaluation and improvement. Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2022.113222
Archaeogenetics Sikora, M., Canteri, E., Fernandez-Guerra, A., Oskolkov, N., Ågren, R., Hansson, L., Irving-Pease, E.K., Mühlemann, B., Holtsmark Nielsen, S., Scorrano, G. and Allentoft, M.E., 2025. The spatiotemporal distribution of human pathogens in ancient Eurasia. Nature, 643(8073), pp.1011-1019.
Energy Jakhmola, A., Jewell, J., Vinichenko, V. et al.2026. Probabilistic projections of global wind and solar power growth based on historical national experience. Nature Energy. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-026-02021-w
Sustainability Sun, X., Tian, L., Fang, H., Walling, D.E., Huang, L., Park, E., Li, D., Zheng, C. and Feng, L., 2025. Changes in global fluvial sediment concentrations and fluxes between 1985 and 2020. Nature Sustainability, 8(2), pp.142-151.
Paleoclimatology Lu, F., Lu, H., Gu, Y., Lin, P., Lu, Z., Zhang, Q., Zhang, H., Yang, F., Dong, X., Yi, S. and Chen, D., 2025. Tipping point-induced abrupt shifts in East Asian hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Communications, 16(1), p.477.
Biogeochemistry Sun, X., Tian, L., Fang, H., Walling, D.E., Syvitski, J., Huang, L., Li, D., Zheng, C. and Feng, L., 2026. Mapping pan-Arctic riverine particulate organic carbon from space (1985 to 2022). Science Advances, 12(3), p.eady6314.
Global Ecology Guo, R., Wu, X., Wang, P., Chen, T., Chen, X., Cai, J., Wang, X., Zhang, Z., Meng, Z. and Liu, Y., 2026. Increased spread of global flash droughts threatens vegetation productivity resilience. Nature Communications.
Paleoceanography Rahaman, W., Gutjahr, M. and Prabhat, P., 2025. Late Pliocene growth of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to near-modern configuration. Nature Communications, 16(1), p.6705.
Zoology Meireles, J.P., Hahn-Klimroth, M., Lackey, L.B., van Eeuwijk, N., Bertelsen, M.F., Dressen, S., Dierkes, P.W., Abraham, A.J. and Clauss, M., 2026. Aging populations threaten conservation goals of zoos. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 123(5), p.e2522274123.
Medicial sciences Garcia-Aymerich, J., de Las Heras, M., Carsin, A.E., Accordini, S., Agustí, A., Bui, D., Dharmage, S.C., Dodd, J.W., Eze, I., Gehring, U. and Gislason, T., 2025. General population-based lung function trajectories over the life course: an accelerated cohort study. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 13(7), pp.611-622.
Climate Change Leclercq, L., Oelsmann, J., Cazenave, A., Passaro, M., Jevrejeva, S., Connors, S., Legeais, J.F., Birol, F. and Abarca-del-Rio, R., 2026. Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s. Communications Earth & Environment.
Communication Phillips, J.B., 2025. Exploring psyop-based conspiracy theories on social media. Information, Communication & Society, pp.1-20.
Applied Math Koutrouli, E., Manousopoulos, P., Theal, J. and Tresso, L., 2025. Crypto asset markets vs. financial markets: Event identification, latest insights and analyses. AppliedMath, 5(2), p.36.
Biosystems Engineering Mayrhuber, E., Maschat, K., Brunner, D., Winkler, S.M. and Oczak, M., 2026. Improved and interpretable accelerometer-based farrowing prediction. Biosystems Engineering, 263, p.104381.
Finance Li, S., Mishra, T. and Yarovaya, L., 2026. Heterogeneous Market Efficiency in Cryptocurrency Markets: A Multi‐Frequency Memory‐Based Approach. International Journal of Finance & Economics.
Economics Lakštutienė, A., Sutiene, K., Kabasinskas, A., Malakauskas, A. and Kopa, M., 2025. Sustaining in Uncertain Time: Investigating Pension Fund Performance during Market Stress. Engineering Economics, 36(1), pp.96-112.
Reliability Engineering Zhou, Y., Liu, S., Kou, G. and Kang, F., 2025. Degradation variation pattern mining based on BEAST time series decomposition integrated functional principal component analysis. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 259, p.110952.
Biology Bancaud, A., Nakajima, T., Suehiro, J.I., Alric, B., Morfoisse, F., Cacheux, J. and Matsunaga, Y.T., 2025. Intraluminal pressure triggers a rapid and persistent reinforcement of endothelial barriers. Lab on a Chip, 25(8), pp.2061-2072.
Construction Engineering Li, F., Xie, Z., Yu, X. and Shi, B., 2025. Estimation of long-term variation patterns in the modal properties of a skyscraper under environmental effects. Engineering Structures, 336, p.120451.
Animal Ecology Hole, G.M., Büntgen, U., Wang, Y., DeVries, B., Rees, G. and Wheeler, H.C., 2026. Dendrochronology and remote sensing reveal beaver occupancy and colonization dynamics in an expanding Arctic population. Ecosphere, 17(3), p.e70557.
Wildlife Pérez-Mellado, V. and Pérez-Cembranos, A., 2025. Effects of the introduction of an herbivore on an endangered lizard. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 71(3), p.47.
Coastal & Estuary science Richey, A., Oberbauer, S.F., Castaneda-Moya, E., Troxler, T., Kominoski, J.S., Olivas, P. and Malone, S.L., 2025. Sea-level rise and freshwater management are reshaping coastal landscapes. Journal of Environmental Management, 387, p.125842.
Civil Engineering Englezou, Y., Timotheou, S. and Panayiotou, C.G., 2025. Fault-adaptive traffic demand estimation using network flow dynamics. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems.
Computational Chemistry Faran, M. and Bisker, G., 2025. Coarse-graining self-assembly by the stochastic landscape method. Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation, 21(21), pp.10719-10734.
Education Huang, X., Wu, H., Liu, X. and Lajoie, S.P., 2025, July. What makes teamwork work? A multimodal case study on emotions and diagnostic expertise in an intelligent tutoring system. In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 44-52). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland.
Agrometerology Ssembajwe, R., Mulinde, C., Ddumba, S.D., Kagezi, G.H., Opio, R., Kobusinge, J., Mugagga, F., Bamutaze, Y., Gidudu, A., Arinaitwe, G. and Voda, M., 2025. Dynamics and associations of selected agrometeorological variables in Robusta growing regions of Uganda. Agricultural Water Management, 307, p.109257.
Health Care Ünal, E. and Yılmaz, S., 2025, March. Healthcare Sector Dynamics in Turkey (2002–2022): Trends, Breakpoints, and Policy Implications (Privatization in the Hospital Sector). In Healthcare (Vol. 13, No. 6, p. 622). MDPI.
Rock Engineering Long, S., Yue, Z., Yue, W.V., Hu, H., Feng, Y., Yan, Y. and Xie, X., 2025. Identification of rock layer interface characteristics using drilling parameters. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, 58(1), pp.1071-1098.
Energy Leiria, D., Johra, H., Anoruo, J., Praulins, I., Piscitelli, M.S., Capozzoli, A., Marszal-Pomianowska, A. and Pomianowski, M.Z., 2025. Is it returning too hot? Time series segmentation and feature clustering of end-user substation faults in district heating systems. Applied Energy, 381, p.125122.
Psychology Huang, X., Nguyen, A. and Lajoie, S.P., 2025. Examining socially shared regulation of learning in medical training: the interplay of heart rate change points on regulatory interactions: Huang et al. European Journal of Psychology of Education, 40(3), p.93.
Paleoclimatology Anastasia Zhuravleva et al., 2023. Caribbean salinity anomalies contributed to variable North Atlantic circulation and climate during the Common Era. Science Advances, DOI:10.1126/sciadv.adg2639
Population Ecology Henderson, P. A. (2021). Southwood's Ecological Methods (5th edition). Oxford University Press., page 475-476
Climatology Webster, M.A., Riihelä, A., Kacimi, S., Ballinger, T.J., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Parker, C.L. and Boisvert, L., 2024. Summer snow on Arctic sea ice modulated by the Arctic Oscillation. Nature Geoscience, pp.1-8.
Cardiology Ozier, D., Rafiq, T., de Souza, R. and Singh, S.M., 2023. Use of Sacubitril/Valsartan Prior to Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Implantation. CJC Open.
Spatial Ecology Laurin, G.V., Cotrina-Sanchez, A., Belelli-Marchesini, L., Tomelleri, E., Battipaglia, G., Cocozza, C., Niccoli, F., Kabala, J.P., Gianelle, D., Vescovo, L. and Da Ros, L., 2024. Comparing ground below-canopy and satellite spectral data for an improved and integrated forest phenology monitoring system. Ecological Indicators, 158, p.111328.
Anthropocene Science Thomas, E.R., Vladimirova, D.O., Tetzner, D.R., Emanuelsson, D.B., Humby, J., Turner, S.D., Rose, N.L., Roberts, S.L., Gaca, P. and Cundy, A.B., 2023. The Palmer ice core as a candidate Global boundary Stratotype Section and Point for the Anthropocene series. The Anthropocene Review, p.20530196231155191.
Biomedical Engineering Saghbiny, E., Da Silva, J., Leblanc, L., Bobbio, C., Morel, G.G., Vialle, R. and Tamadazte, B., 2023, September. Breach detection in spine surgery based on cutting torque with ex-vivo experimental validation. In Conference on New Technologies for Computer and Robot Assisted Surgery.
Political Science Reuning, K., Whitesell, A. and Hannah, A.L., 2022. Facebook algorithm changes may have amplified local republican parties. Research & Politics, 9(2), p.20531680221103809.
Food Science Zaytsev, V., Tutukina, M.N., Chetyrkina, M.R., Shelyakin, P.V., Ovchinnikov, G., Satybaldina, D., Kondrashov, V.A., Bandurist, M.S., Seilov, S., Gorin, D.A. and Fedorov, F.S., 2024. Monitoring of meat quality and change-point detection by a sensor array and profiling of bacterial communities. Analytica Chimica Acta, p.343022.
Ecology Dashti, H., Chen, M., Smith, B., Zhao, K. and Moore, D., 2024. Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been?. Geophysical Research Letters
Spatial Hydrology Wang, Yiming, Xuesong Zhang, Kaiguang Zhao, and Debjani Singh. "Streamflow in the United States: Characteristics, trends, regime shifts, and extremes." Scientific Data 11, no. 1 (2024): 788.
Business Science Li, Z. and Tian, Y., 2024. Skewed multifractal cross-correlation between price and volume during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from China and European carbon markets. Applied Energy, 371, p.123716.
Ecography Smith, M.M. and Pauli, J.N., 2024. Small but connected islands can maintain populations and genetic diversity under climate change. Ecography, p.e07119.
Economics Sapkota, B.P., 2024. Analysis of Climate Policy and Monetary Policy Nexus in the Norwegian Context: A DSGE Approach (Master's thesis, Norwegian University of Life Sciences).
Cognitive Science Prein, J.C., Maurits, L., Werwach, A., Haun, D.B. and Bohn, M., 2024. Variation in gaze following across the life span: A process‐level perspective. Developmental Science, p.e13546.
Neuroscience Aqel, K., Wang, Z., Peng, Y.B. and Maia, P.D., 2024. Reconstructing rodent brain signals during euthanasia with eigensystem realization algorithm (ERA). Scientific Reports, 14(1), p.12261.
Glaciology Ramón, C.L., Rueda, F.J., Priet‐Mahéo, M.C. and Andradóttir, H., 2024. The impact of deep glacial water diversions from a hydroelectric reservoir in the thermal dynamics of a sub-arctic lake. Journal of Hydrology, 635, p.131081.
Quaternary Science Gibson, D.K., Bird, B.W., Finney, B.P. and Steinman, B.A., 2024. Holocene insolation and sea surface temperature influences on the polar front jet stream and precipitation in the midcontinental United States. Quaternary Science Reviews, 340, p.108865.
Geography Lyu, R., Pang, J., Zhang, J. and Zhang, J., 2024. The impacts of disturbances on mountain ecosystem services: Insights from BEAST and Bayesian network. Applied Geography, 162, p.103143.
Watershed Hydrology Sakizadeh, M., Milewski, A. and Sattari, M.T., 2023. Analysis of Long-Term Trend of Stream Flow and Interaction Effect of Land Use and Land Cover on Water Yield by SWAT Model and Statistical Learning in Part of Urmia Lake Basin, Northwest of Iran. Water, 15(4), p.690.
Oceanography Oehlert, A.M., Hunter, H., Riopelle, C. and Purkis, S.J., 2023. Perturbation to North Atlantic Ocean‐Climate Dynamics Tripled Whitings Mud Production in the Bahamas. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128(11), p.e2023JC020021.
Hydraulic Engineering Xu, X., Yang, J., Ma, C., Qu, X., Chen, J. and Cheng, L., 2022. Segmented modeling method of dam displacement based on BEAST time series decomposition. Measurement, 202, p.111811.
Social Media Barrie, C., Ketchley, N., Siegel, A. and Bagdouri, M., 2023. Measuring Media Freedom.
Political Economy Benchimol, J. and Palumbo, L., 2023. Sanctions and Russian Online Prices.
Physiology Shakeel, M., Brockmann, A. Temporal effects of sugar intake on fly local search and honey bee dance behaviour. J Comp Physiol A (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00359-023-01670-6
Injuries & Hazards Delavary, M., Kalantari, A.H., Mohammadzadeh Moghaddam, A., Fakoor, V., Lavallière, M. and Wilhelm Siebert, F., 2024. Road traffic mortality in Iran: longitudinal trend and seasonal analysis, March 2011-February 2020. International journal of injury control and safety promotion, 31(1), pp.125-137.
Civil Engineering Langtry, M., Wichitwechkarn, V., Ward, R., Zhuang, C., Kreitmair, M.J., Makasis, N., Conti, Z.X. and Choudhary, R., 2024. Impact of data for forecasting on performance of model predictive control in buildings with smart energy storage. Energy and Buildings, p.114605.
Ichthyology Kaeding, L.R., 2023. Climate-change and nonnative-piscivore impacts on a renowned Oncorhynchus metapopulation, requirements for metapopulation recovery, and similarities to anadromous salmonid metapopulations. Aquatic Sciences, 85(4), p.88.
Remote Sensing Mulverhill, C., Coops, N.C. and Achim, A., 2023. Continuous monitoring and sub-annual change detection in high-latitude forests using Harmonized Landsat Sentinel-2 data. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 197, pp.309-319.
Physical Chemistry Faran, M. and Bisker, G., 2023. Nonequilibrium Self-Assembly Time Forecasting by the Stochastic Landscape Method. The Journal of Physical Chemistry B.
Biogeochemistry Dahl, M., Gullström, M., Bernabeu, I., Serrano, O., Leiva‐Dueñas, C., Linderholm, H.W., Asplund, M.E., Björk, M., Ou, T., Svensson, J.R. and Andrén, E., 2024. A 2,000‐year record of eelgrass (Zostera marina L.) colonization shows substantial gains in blue carbon storage and nutrient retention. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 38(3), p.e2023GB008039.
Mechanobiology Faran, M., Ray, D., Nag, S., Raucci, U., Parrinello, M. and Bisker, G., 2024. A Stochastic Landscape Approach for Protein Folding State Classification. Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation.
Analytical Chemistry Simic, M., Neuper, C., Hohenester, U. and Hill, C., 2023. Optofluidic force induction as a process analytical technology. Analytical and Bioanalytical Chemistry, pp.1-11.
Ecosystem Sciences Lyu, R., Zhao, W., Pang, J., Tian, X., Zhang, J. and Wang, N., 2022. Towards a sustainable nature reserve management: Using Bayesian network to quantify the threat of disturbance to ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services, 58, p.101483.
Environmental Sciences Nickerson, S., Chen, G., Fearnside, P., Allan, C.J., Hu, T., de Carvalho, L.M. and Zhao, K., 2022. Forest loss is significantly higher near clustered small dams than single large dams per megawatt of hydroelectricity installed in the Brazilian Amazon. Environmental Research Letters.
Geology Fan, X., Goeppert, N. and Goldscheider, N., 2023. Quantifying the historic and future response of karst spring discharge to climate variability and change at a snow-influenced temperate catchment in central Europe. Hydrogeology Journal, pp.1-17.
Wildlife Smith, Matthew M., and Jonathan N. Pauli. "Connectivity maintains genetic diversity and population persistence within an archipelagic refugia even under declining lake ice." Mechanisms of species recovery for a forest carnivore in a changing landscape: 173.
Climate Sciences Duke, N.C., Mackenzie, J.R., Canning, A.D., Hutley, L.B., Bourke, A.J., Kovacs, J.M., Cormier, R., Staben, G., Lymburner, L. and Ai, E., 2022. ENSO-driven extreme oscillations in mean sea level destabilise critical shoreline mangroves—An emerging threat. PLOS Climate, 1(8), p.e000003
Finance Candelaria, Christopher A., Shelby M. McNeill, and Kenneth A. Shores. (2022). What is a School Finance Reform? Uncovering the ubiquity and diversity of school finance reforms using a Bayesian changepoint estimator.(EdWorkingPaper: 22-587). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: https://doi.org/10.26300/4vey-3w10
Public health Linnell, K., Fudolig, M., Schwartz, A., Ricketts, T.H., O'Neil-Dunne, J.P., Dodds, P.S. and Danforth, C.M., 2022. Spatial changes in park visitation at the onset of the pandemic. arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.15937.
Biometerology Li, Y., Liu, Y., Bohrer, G., Cai, Y., Wilson, A., Hu, T., Wang, Z. and Zhao, K., 2022. Impacts of forest loss on local climate across the conterminous United States: Evidence from satellite time-series observations. Science of The Total Environment, 802, p.149651.
Applied Math Ferguson, Daniel, and Francois G. Meyer. Probability density estimation for sets of large graphs with respect to spectral information using stochastic block models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.02168 (2022).
Transportation Science Delavary, M., Kalantari, A.H., Mohammadzadeh Moghaddam, A., Fakoor, V., Lavalliere, M. and Wilhelm Siebert, F., 2023. Road traffic mortality in Iran: longitudinal trend and seasonal analysis, March 2011-February 2020. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, pp.1-12.
Water quality He, Ziming, Jiayu Yao, Yancen Lu, and Danlu Guo. "Detecting and explaining long-term changes in river water quality in south eastern Australia." Hydrological Processes: e14741.
Air quality Wu, S., Yao, J., Wang, Y. and Zhao, W., 2023. Influencing factors of PM2. 5 concentrations in the typical urban agglomerations in China based on wavelet perspective. Environmental Research, p.116641.
Hydrology Zohaib, M. and Choi, M., 2020. Satellite-based global-scale irrigation water use and its contemporary trends. Science of The Total Environment, 714, p.136719.
Energy Engineering Lindig, S., Theristis, M. and Moser, D., 2022. Best practices for photovoltaic performance loss rate calculations. Progress in Energy, 4(2), p.022003.
Virology Shen, L., Sun, M., Song, S., Hu, Q., Wang, N., Ou, G., Guo, Z., Du, J., Shao, Z., Bai, Y. and Liu, K., 2022. The impact of anti-COVID19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on hand, foot, and mouth disease—A spatiotemporal perspective in Xi'an, northwestern China. Journal of medical virology.
Pharmaceutical Sciences Patzkowski, M.S., Costantino, R.C., Kane, T.M., Nghiem, V.T., Kroma, R.B. and Highland, K.B., 2022. Military Health System Opioid, Tramadol, and Gabapentinoid Prescription Volumes Before and After a Defense Health Agency Policy Release. Clinical Drug Investigation, pp.1-8.
Geography Cai, Y., Liu, S. and Lin, H., 2020. Monitoring the vegetation dynamics in the Dongting Lake Wetland from 2000 to 2019 using the BEAST algorithm based on dense Landsat time series. Applied Sciences, 10(12), p.4209.
Oceanography Pitarch, J., Bellacicco, M., Marullo, S. and Van Der Woerd, H.J., 2021. Global maps of Forel-Ule index, hue angle and Secchi disk depth derived from 21 years of monthly ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative data. Earth System Science Data, 13(2), pp.481-490.
Photovoltaics Micheli, L., Theristis, M., Livera, A., Stein, J.S., Georghiou, G.E., Muller, M., Almonacid, F. and Fernadez, E.F., 2021. Improved PV soiling extraction through the detection of cleanings and change points. IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics, 11(2), pp.519-526.
Climate Sciences White, J.H., Walsh, J.E. and Thoman Jr, R.L., 2021. Using Bayesian statistics to detect trends in Alaskan precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 41(3), pp.2045-2059.
Field Hydrology Merk, M., Goeppert, N. and Goldscheider, N., 2021. Deep desiccation of soils observed by long-term high-resolution measurements on a large inclined lysimeter. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(6), pp.3519-3538.
Sports Science Roccetti, M. and Piconi, F., Minutes played by Under 21 players in Serie A: a descriptive analytics study.
Forest Ecology Moreno-Fernandez, D., Viana-Soto, A., Camarero, J.J., Zavala, M.A., Tijerin, J. and Garcia, M., 2021. Using spectral indices as early warning signals of forest dieback: The case of drought-prone Pinus pinaster forests. Science of The Total Environment, 793, p.148578.
Petroleum Engineering Pan, Y., Bi, R., Yang, S., Lyu, Z. and Ju, X., 2024, February. Application of a Bayesian Ensemble Algorithm for Automated Production Diagnostic of Gas Wells with Plunger-Lift. In International Petroleum Technology Conference (p. D011S029R008). IPTC.
Atmospheric Sciences Tingwei, C., Tingxuan, H., Bing, M., Fei, G., Yanfang, X., Rongjie, L., Yi, M. and Jie, Z., 2021. Spatiotemporal pattern of aerosol types over the Bohai and Yellow Seas observed by CALIOP. Infrared and Laser Engineering, 50(6), p.20211030.
Terrestrial ecology Dashti, H., Pandit, K., Glenn, N.F., Shinneman, D.J., Flerchinger, G.N., Hudak, A.T., de Graaf, M.A., Flores, A., Ustin, S., Ilangakoon, N. and Fellows, A.W., 2021. Performance of the ecosystem demography model (EDv2. 2) in simulating gross primary production capacity and activity in a dryland study area. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 297, p.108270.
Statistics Storath, M. and Weinmann, A., 2023. Smoothing splines for discontinuous signals. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, (just-accepted), pp.1-26.
Environmental Engineering Bainbridge, R., Lim, M., Dunning, S., Winter, M.G., Diaz-Moreno, A., Martin, J., Torun, H., Sparkes, B., Khan, M.W. and Jin, N., 2022. Detection and forecasting of shallow landslides: lessons from a natural laboratory. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 13(1), pp.686-704.
Fishery Theis, S., Wallace, A.,, Poesch, M., Portiss, R. & Ruppert, J.. (2024). Balancing boat-electrofishing sampling effort against costs for nearshore fish communities in the Toronto waterfront, Lake Ontario. Fisheries Management and Ecology. 10.1111/fme.12733.
Hydrology Yang, X., Tian, S., You, W. and Jiang, Z., 2021. Reconstruction of continuous GRACE/GRACE-FO terrestrial water storage anomalies based on time series decomposition. Journal of Hydrology, 603, p.127018.
Landscape Ecology Adams, B.T., Matthews, S.N., Iverson, L.R., Prasad, A.M., Peters, M.P. and Zhao, K., 2021. Spring phenological variability promoted by topography and vegetation assembly processes in a temperate forest landscape. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 308, p.108578.